The historian who predicted almost every winner since 1984 reveals who is likely to win in 2024

In the world of US election forecasting, few people carry the clout and reputation of Allan Lichtman.

Known for his remarkably accurate predictions spanning four decades, Lichtman has revealed his prediction for the highly anticipated 2024 presidential race, foreign media write,

Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about upcoming presidential elections — and in many cases, it turns out to be correct.

While the specific details of the forecast remain undisclosed, the revelation has sparked intrigue and speculation among political pundits, analysts and the public.

As stated further, an integral part of Lichtman’s predictions is his unique model, “Keys to the White House”.

This formula, rooted in a variety of political, economic and social factors, contains 13 true or false questions designed to determine the likely winner of the presidential race.

While the specific criteria and distribution of ‘keys’ to candidates remain undisclosed, they have historically served as a reliable indicator of election results.And according to available information, Lichtman’s model shows a slight lead for incumbent JB in a hypothetical 2024 showdown against former President D.T.

According to the Fox News article, so far, Biden holds five of the “keys,” while Trump was able to get about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch.

That leaves five keys still up for grabs and enough room for the former president to secure a lead before November. However, predictions, especially by influential forecasters like Lichtman, can significantly shape public perception and discourse about the presidential race.

Thus, the discovery of this prediction has already sparked discussions and debates, reflecting on the possible implications for both the candidates and the electorate.

Regardless, it is essential to remember that predictions are not guarantees and the final decision rests solely in the hands of the voters.


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